It’s highly likely that Apple will release the updated Pencil as its last piece of hardware this year. We’ve been hearing rumors of new iPad and Mac models for months, but according to fresh estimates from TF International Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, we won’t be able to lay our hands on any of them until the next year.
Many sources stated that Apple would also be releasing new iPad models prior to the Tuesday introduction of the Apple Pencil (USB-C). Given that Apple simply introduced the Apple Pencil as a new product, it is clear that this did not happen.
Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, as reported by MacRumors, has made several forecasts in recent weeks that all lead to the same conclusion: Apple will stop releasing hardware in 2023.
Beginning on September 8, Kuoposted also the following statement on X: It appears that Apple will not release new MacBook models (with CPUs from the M3 series) before the end of the current year. One and a half months later, his forecast comes true.
He re-posted on September 12th, saying that new iPad models are unlikely to be released before the year is out.
Kuo revised his 2022 estimate in an X post earlier this week, predicting that the 24-inch iMac revamp will arrive in 2024 and the introduction of a higher-end 32-inch iMac with a miniLED display will occur somewhere in 2025.
Finally, Kuo summarized his most recent forecasts in aMediumpost this week:
There are no new products in 4Q23, and MacBook shipment momentum will be significantly lower than in past peak seasons. The key to no new products is that Apple needs to clear inventory and reformulate new product and marketing strategies for 2024.
Apple has had a busy year so far in 2024, but with the release of Apple Vision Pro and significant updates to all of its major product lines, things could get much busier.